Tetrad of a Smart Phone
Progression #1
Enhances: The devices offers the ability for everyone to have access to anyone at anytime by phone, text, e-mail, videoconferencing, etcetera.
Obsoletes: Obsoletes the Cell Phone, GPS navigational device, Yellowbook, MP3 player, etcetera.
Retrieves/Rekindles: Retrieves the rotational dial phone with the long twisted cord and the big Yellowpages sitting beside it.
Reverses: Reverses into a wearable/implantable communication device that responds to brain waves, thoughts, and voice in an intellgent environment.
Enhances: The devices offers the ability for everyone to have access to anyone at anytime by phone, text, e-mail, videoconferencing, etcetera.
Obsoletes: Obsoletes the Cell Phone, GPS navigational device, Yellowbook, MP3 player, etcetera.
Retrieves/Rekindles: Retrieves the rotational dial phone with the long twisted cord and the big Yellowpages sitting beside it.
Reverses: Reverses into a wearable/implantable communication device that responds to brain waves, thoughts, and voice in an intellgent environment.
Progression #2
Enhances: Users will feel like they think and act simultaneously with this device. It begins to become a "part" of the user.
Obsoletes: Obsoletes the Smart Phone
Retrieves/Rekindles: Retrieves the cell phone that could only be used to make wireless phone calls from external locations.
Reverses: Reverses into a fully implantable device that seamlessly interacts with the user at a subconscious level.
Reference Links to other resources:
Elon University/Pew Internet Project. (n.d.). Imagining the Internet: A history and forecast: Back 150 timeline. Retrieved April 7, 2011, fromhttp://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/predictions/back150years.pdf
Elon University/Pew Internet Project. (n.d.). Imagining the Internet: A history and forecast: Forward 150 timeline. Retrieved April 7, 2011, fromhttp://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/predictions/forward150years.pdf
Dimensional Studios. (2008). Musion eyeliner: 3D holographic projection system. Retrieved fromhttp://www.eyeliner3d.com/cisco_telepresence_holographic_video_conferencing.html
Thornburg, D. D. (2008b). Emerging technologies and McLuhan's Laws of Media. Lake Barrington, IL: Thornburg Center for Space Exploration.
The most powerful characteristic of the Smart Phone is that it has integrated so many of what you named as the obsolete technologies into the new technology. There is no longer need to buy a separate , digital camera, video camera, GPS or MP3 player because it is all integrated. So the future will probably see more integration of technologies doing multiple things. The trend is now leaning away from cords and wires and moving to wireless. You illustrated your progression as moving from the Smart Phone to a "wearable device hat that reads thoughts, gestures and voice." Just as we are currently seeing our devices move from wires and cords to wireless, I think that the next progression will do the following:
ReplyDeleteFully implantable computer chip
Enhances: Fully integrated communication/information system is within the brain and controlled by the mind.
Obsoletes: External devices with external activation controls
Retrieves: The telegraph utilized electric signals across wires. The new technology originates from this idea utilizing the impulses that travel through the brain and activate the device that has been implanted.
Reverses: Teleportation will allow for immediate communication in person and will obsolete the need to transmit communication signals from long distances.
Lewie, you bring up a very good point. When I wrote about the secretary and the boss, I was speaking from the traditional, stereotypical roles of female secretary and male boss from the 1950's and 1960's. Progress has now led us to break out of that paradigm and 60 years later I am a female boss with a male “administrative assistant.” I was thinking about how this paradigm may shift over the next 60 years. Might we see robots taking jobs away from humans? What types of jobs will humans be equipped to do? According to the Forward 150 Timeline ubiquitous robots will be part of our lives between 2016-2025. Artificial intelligence will surpass the capacity of the human brain, so our jobs will look a lot different. I can't imagine that robots would ever be able to replicate the “emotional intelligences” that are what make humans unique so humans may have to work to develop the affective side of their brains to adapt.
ReplyDeleteThis is a fascinating discussion, but let's get back on topic. Please follow this link to see my tetrad of the next progression I anticipate after yours:
http://cathymarzialiedtech.blogspot.com/2011/07/in-his-emerging-and-future-technologies.html
References
Elon University/Pew Internet Project. (n.d.). Imagining the Internet: A history and forecast: Forward 150 timeline. Retrieved April 7, 2011, from http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/predictions/forward150years.pdf
Lewie,
ReplyDeletePlease follow this link for my comments and see how I extended your progression of Smart Phone technology:
http://cathymarzialiedtech.blogspot.com/
Cathy
Lewis,
ReplyDeleteThe evolution and progression of the smartphone never ceases to bring amazement. Not only is the current technology becoming a combined communication and pda, it is also becoming an entertainment system in one small device. My daugthers use their Android phones as Amazon Kindle Readers, Netflix receivers, as well as pda and communication devices. Fascinating...